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Compared to 4G, 5G drives DOU growth by 29% increase ARPU by 10%. 5G can also help to grow in FTTX growth rate by solving the last mile issue through FWA.
According to the growth trend of 4G subscribers in recent years and the growth rate of other countries where the 5G network is currently deployed, it is anticipated Iran will have nearly 164 million mobile subscribers, including 63 million 5G subscribers and 12.6 million FWA service subscribers by 2027.
Units 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E 2027E DEMOGRAPHICS Population [0] 86,651,407 87,080,636 88,109,865 88,739,094 89,634,990 90,353,108 Households [000] 26,384 26,518 26,652 26,786 26,920 27,054 Wireless Subscription Mobile Subscription Penetration [%] 169.51 169.62 172.34 175.72 178.57 181.94 Mobile Subscriptions [000] 143,574 147,709 151,845 155,930 160,062 164,384 MBB ( LTE ) Subscription [000] 90,619 111,004 118,652 124,193 113,066 83,691 eMBB (5G) Subscription [000] 0 3,429 8,917 17,925 34,057 63,006 5G Fixed Wireless Access Subscription [0] - 686,000 1,783,599 3,585,034 6,811,564 12,601,394 LTE WTTx Subscription [000] 1,806 2,076 2,303 2,559 2,796 3,045 Fixed Wireless Access Business Subscription [000] 473 527 568 617 661 708 Video User Ratio [%] 90% 90% 95% 97% 97% 97% Data Usage Monthly MBB DoU [GB] 12 16 21 27 36 50 FWA DoU [GB] 33 150 250 380 620 Other Services eMTC Users (LTE + 5G) [%] 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10%
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